The issue of banker’s inflated bonuses has taken up a hell of a lot of media time. These bonuses are spectacularly outrageous, easily comprehensible and provide a scapegoat for public outrage. However, by devoting too much time to this relatively superficial disgrace, we seem to be neglecting the far greater issue of international financial regulation. “NHS is here to stay, make the greedy bankers pay!” and similar chants are often heard at protests – partly because nothing really rhymes with ‘structured investment vehicles’ – but more importantly because financial regulation is the driest, most complex and least exciting topic imaginable. Unfortunately, it’s also incredibly important.
Since the 1970s, the global banking sector has been using its enormous lobbying power to chip away at the international financial regulation regime. Furthermore, continuous innovations in different financial instruments left whatever regulations that remained far outdated. In this article I want to explain three financial innovations that played a key role in the causing the 2008 economic crisis; securitisation, shadow banking liquidity and the credit derivatives market.
Securitisation basically means turning a source of income (such as a debt with regular payments) into a tradable commodity – a security. The staggered payments on this debt are now paid to the buyer of the security, while the seller makes off with a one-off fee. While securitisation became a wide-ranging phenomenon, it was particularly important in reference to the housing market in the US. Due to record-low interest rates after 2001, borrowing became extremely cheap for entrants into the housing market and became highly profitable for banks. Mortgages were given to risky borrowers (low income or poor credit history) in bulk and these mortgages were then securitised and sold to investors around the world. However, when interests rates eventually started to rise in 2005, these borrowers could no longer afford their mortgage payments – making these ‘mortgage securities’ that were now in the hands of countless banks, financial institutions and pension funds totally worthless.
It was this process of securitisation that spread the toxic mortgages around the world, proliferating financial contagion.
The term liquidity means the ability to convert an asset into cash quickly. For example, if you own an enormous mansion but cannot sell it – you can be said to be asset rich but illiquid. Liquidity is crucial to the functioning of the financial sector, as it allows transactions between institutions to continue as well as providing funding for the real economy. Capital requirements are regulations that exist to make sure banks hold on to a sufficient amount of liquid capital (cash), so that in case of sudden losses the bank can still allow investors to withdraw their savings – hence staving off mass panic. The problem that arose during the 2008 Financial Crisis was not just that these capital requirements were inadequate, but that a monumental chunk of the international financial sector was totally exempt from these regulations. This is the ‘shadow banking system’; made up of institutions like Lehman Brothers that carry out the same functions as traditional banks but which operate in a regulatory blindspot. There is no plausible reason for this exemption from regulation – the shadow banking system actually dwarfed the traditional banking sector by $9,000 billion before the crisis. In fact, Bear Stearns – a key shadow banking institution – only had $1 dollar of liquid capital for every $30 that they had loaned. Consequently, most of the US bailout package was directed at saving the shadow banking system from default.
Trying to understand the credit derivatives market is kind of like stumbling across the diary of a madman and trying to interpret his crazed scribbles. The purpose of a financial system is supposed to be to rationally allocate funding into the most efficient sectors of the economy – something that was completely forgotten in this frenzied web of short-term profiteering that contributed nothing to the real economy, while massively exacerbating existing instabilities. The most important form of credit derivatives were credit default swaps (CDSs). A CDS is basically an insurance policy taken out by an investor to protect against the failure of his investment. The buyer of this policy agrees to pay the issuer a set amount each month, but in the case of an investment failure the issuer must pay out the full insurance to the buyer. However, much like the securitised mortgages, CDSs were sold by the issuers to third parties and they were then sold further. The problem was that due to the deregulated nature of this market there was no requirement for the party holding the insurance policy (and collecting the monthly payments) to verify that they actually had the cash to pay out in the event of an investment failure. This meant that when the supposedly insured investment failed and the buyer attempted to cash in on their insurance policy, they were often left empty handed. However, it was the scale of this scandal that made the crisis truly catastrophic. In 2007, the international CDS market was worth $62 trillion, while in the same year US GDP stood at $13.84 trillion. That means that if the US had liquidated every asset in the entire country – if the government had convinced every family to melt down their best silverware and send it to the White House – it would have covered less than a quarter of the losses of a CDS market collapse. It was this ridiculous gambling that necessitated the enormous government bailouts seen in this country and the US; bailouts that are now used to justify the current austerity measures.
The three issues discussed above can all be significantly addressed through international cooperation on financial regulation. The Financial Stability Forum and the G-20 are important international organisations through which Britain, considering the City of London’s global role, can influence the international regulatory regime. Furthermore, significant dissatisfaction in Europe at the role of the US in instigating this crisis means that these changes are far from politically impossible. The issue of banker’s bonuses makes for sensationalist news headlines, but we must not let it distract us from the broader picture – especially when the window for reform is closing.
We live in a world where systemic risk is far higher than at any other point in history. Global inequality, lack of public services, distorted balance sheets and a ridiculously bloated international financial sector are all underlying factors that created the crisis – factors that will be changed only after a long struggle. However, reforming the problems discussed above does not simply amount to rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic. It can mean the difference between having a public healthcare system or not. If not for this reason, then we should at least get these issues resolved now so that no one ever has to learn about capital adequacy ratios again.